The Volatility of 10-Year Government Bonds in the Period of Increased Economic Uncertainty

Main Article Content

Maria Sadowska

Abstrakt

Within the scope of this paper is to investigate the dynamic correlation and the volatility of 10-year sovereign bond yields in the G7 countries from January 4, 2010 to December 30, 2022. The following analyses were performed by dividing the said period into two sub-periods taking August 2, 2019 as a breaking point. Conclusions were made based on built VAR models. Conducted research indicates the USA as having the most significant influence on the rest of countries. European countries are perceived as more vulnerable to the external impact in shaping their bond yields. There are noticeable changes taking place in Italy between analyzed two periods – quotes become more dependent on other countries over time.

Article Details

Jak cytować
Sadowska, M. (2023). The Volatility of 10-Year Government Bonds in the Period of Increased Economic Uncertainty. Metody Ilościowe W Badaniach Ekonomicznych, 24(1), 47–56. https://doi.org/10.22630/MIBE.2023.24.1.3
Bibliografia

Abakah E. J. A., Addo E., Gil-Alana L. A., Tiwari A. K. (2021) Re-Examination of International Bond Market Dependence: Evidence from a Pair Copula Approach. International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, 74(C). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101678

Brooks C. (2008) Introductory Econometrics for Finance. 2. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511841644

Dickey D. A., Fuller W. A. (1979) Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74 (366), 427-431. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1979.10482531

Helmut L. (2005) New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-27752-1.

Ihsan E. K., Semra K. (2017) Research of the Causalities US Stock Market Returns and G-7 Countries Stock Market Volatilities from Pre-Crisis to Post-Crisis of 2008. Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, 7(4), 33-42.

Kwiatkowski D., Phillips P. C. B., Schmidt P., Shin Y. (1992) Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity against the Alternative of a Unit Root. Journal of Econometrics, 54, 159-178.

Krawiec M., Borkowski B., Shachmurove Y. (2022) Modeling Dynamic Correlation and Volatility of the Visegrad Group Fuel Markets. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4186709 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4186709

Lee H. S., Lee W. S. (2018) Housing Market Volatility Connectedness among G7 Countries. Applied Economics Letters, 25(3), 146-151. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2017.1305069

Nasir M. A., Le T. N. L., Ghabri Y., Huynh L. D. T. (2023) Sovereign Bonds and Flight to Safety: Implications of the COVID-19 Crisis for Sovereign Debt Markets in the G-7 and E-7 Economies. International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, 86(C). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102548

Sims C. A. (1980) Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1-48.

Statystyki

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.
Rekomendowane teksty