APPLICATION OF MULTIVARIATE DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS FOR PREDICTION OF BANKRUPTCY OF SELECTED CONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANIES

Functioning of the company in the conditions of the free market competition depends on its flexible reactions to changes and the response speed to perturbations in the unstable economy. Entities, which are not able to keep up with the current changes, enter the path of crisis in the company, which last stage may be the bankruptcy. The paper presents an attempt to use and evaluate five Polish models of the multivariate discriminant analysis in forecasting the threat of bankruptcy. The analysis was conducted for the years 2008 – 2013. For the study there were selected 10 construction and real estate development companies, listed on the main market of the Warsaw Stock Exchange, which profit and loss account is made in the calculation model and for which in the years 2012-2014 there were initiated the bankruptcy proceedings.